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MORTGAGE UPDATE:
Lending update courtesy of MS&C Mortgage, an affiliate of Wells Fargo
Market in Review: The Wells Fargo View
The Economy – Is It As Bad As It Feels?
According to multiple third-party sources, prices continue to rise in many sectors of the
economy and consumer confidence levels are at their lowest since the 1980s. The May
Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer confidence was at 59.5, but a comparison of
statistics from previous years suggests that the current cycle really might not be that bad.
During the 1978-1982 market downturn the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 13.5%, according
to Freddie Mac. Interest rates have been hovering around 6% for the first half of 2008 and the
unemployment rate in May was 5.5%. In 1982 the average unemployment rate was 9.7%, according
to the U.S. Department of Labor.
In a speech delivered in May by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, he said that there is
no quick fix for the economy and that it will simply take time for the correction to occur.
As the government works to jumpstart the market by sending economic stimulus payments to
more than 130 million households, it’s
up for debate whether consumers will save the rebate,
spend it or pay down debt. While consumer confidence remains low, spending continues to
move ahead at a slow pace. A recent USA Today/Gallup phone survey showed that 45% of
those
polled said their standard of living is better now than it was five years ago (see chart).
The Wells Fargo View: We continue to see increased volume flowing
into our company directly from consumers, brokers and correspondents. While the
product mix has shifted from non-conventional products back to traditional
mortgages and FHA/VA products, the home buying market shows pockets of strength - and, we continue to provide responsible lending and servicing to our customers.
Efforts Underway To Keep Appraisals In Check:
True market values and accurate appraisals are critical to ensure home values are
not inflated when consumers apply for mortgages. In March, the Office of the Federal
Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO), government-sponsored entities Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, and New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo reached an agreement
about certain requirements they wish to place on lenders and appraisers related to
the appraisal process. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency recently
cited “substantial legal issues” with how the deal was created. Subsequently,
future changes to this proposed agreement may occur based on feedback from the
industry and regulators. According to the agreement, beginning Jan. 1, 2009 in
New York, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will only buy mortgages where appraisals
were made by companies that are independent from lenders. As written, the
agreement would ban lenders from using in-house appraisers and block mortgage brokers
from ordering appraisals.
The Wells Fargo View: Wells Fargo has long had a practice that helps
prevent fraudulent appraisals. Internal policy requires the selection of an appraiser
to be done independently by an approved appraisal management company. Any communication
throughout the appraisal process is monitored for compliance with Wells Fargo’s policy.
Government-Backed Loans Are A Larger Part Of Today’s Market:
Government-backed products, such as Federal Housing Administration (FHA) and Veterans
Administration (VA) loans are an alternative to nonprime and conventional home financing
for qualified first-time and repeat homebuyers.
In addition to the consumers who qualify for FHA loans, nearly 70 million people are
potentially eligible for VA loans - designed to help eligible veterans purchase or
refinance a home. Similar to FHA products, the VA guarantees the loans, which provides
additional opportunities for veterans to purchase a home and protects lenders against
potential losses. VA loans, which are fully assumable, include other benefits such as:
• Low downpayment options,
• No pre-payment penalty, and
• Seller-financed concessions up to 4% of the appraised value.
According to Inside Mortgage Finance,
an estimated $46 billion of FHA/VA loans were
originated in early 2008, up 28% from the previous quarter and 92% more than during
the same period in 2007 (see chart).
The Wells Fargo View: Wells Fargo has long been a leading FHA/VA lender,
and offers these loans to all customers who may benefit from them. This includes customers
who may be credit-challenged and need the additional assistance these loans provide.
Visit Well Fargo for
additional FHA/VA loan information.
Larger Market Share Migrates To Top Lenders As Small Businesses Exit:
Mergers, acquisitions and mortgage lenders exiting the business will likely continue during
the next several years. The
remaining players are gaining a larger percentage of the market
share (see chart). As the choice of lenders continues to shrink, consumers will look to do
business with quality companies who will be around for the long-term.
The Wells Fargo View: WFHM continues to be the leading Retail Residential Mortgage
lender, ranking number one as of first quarter 2008, and also continues to be a leading Wholesale
and Correspondent producer. Our commitment remains steadfast to mortgage banking and our customers,
real estate professionals, builders, numerous other referral sources, brokers and correspondents.
Wells
Fargo & Company is a diversified financial services company with $575 billion in assets,
providing banking, insurance, investments, mortgage and consumer finance to more than 23 million
customers from almost 6,000 stores and the internet (wellsfargo.com) across North America and
elsewhere internationally. Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. is the only bank in the U.S., and one of two banks
worldwide, to have the highest possible credit rating from both Moody's Investors Service, "AAA,"
and Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, "AAA." Information is accurate as of date of printing and
subject to change without notice. Wells Fargo Home Mortgage is a division of
Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. © 2008 Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. All rights reserved.
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